Livid-Enemy
0x209b1015a619242892de5b2dc8a87a97a5819953
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$41.14
Total PnL
$-4.69
Realised
$-0.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Alberto Undurraga win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
19 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$18.88
$0.02
- YES
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$10.05
$0.05
- NO
Will DeWayne Davis win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$7.98
$0.01
- NO
US stagflation in 2025?
2 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.08
$0.08
- YES
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill DeWayne Davis win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$469.06Oct 21, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeWayne Davis win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$477.50Oct 20, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alberto Undurraga win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$523.71Oct 20, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberto Undurraga win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$543.10Oct 20, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$10.00Oct 20, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?$4.00Oct 20, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?$1.00Oct 4, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?$1.00Oct 4, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS stagflation in 2025?$2.00Oct 4, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase acquire Circle before September?$1.03Oct 4, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Metaplanet hold 10k+ BTC before July?$1.19Oct 4, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin before July?$2.21Oct 4, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin before July?$2.00Jun 8, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase acquire Circle before September?$1.00Jun 8, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Metaplanet hold 10k+ BTC before July?$1.00Jun 8, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Louisville win the South region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$1.03Jun 8, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Gaza in first 100 days?$1.03Jun 8, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?$1.04Jun 8, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump attend SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9?$1.05Jun 8, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gonzaga win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$1.09Jun 8, 01:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $62.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 21, 13:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.