Bowed-Lake
0x209c09d1f633fef53bbfcb4a5e5b5e4017ffc2e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$6.28
Total PnL
$-48.12
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.1¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.20
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 22?
3150 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-12.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 30?
1092 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 14?
1090 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.54
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 6?
1085 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.51
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 11?
1075 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 13?
1074 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on April 20?
1071 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 17?
1069 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 25?$2.10May 25, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 17?$2.14May 17, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?$1.1KMay 9, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?$1.1KMay 9, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 8?$1.1KMay 8, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 8?$1.1KMay 8, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 7?$1.1KMay 7, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 7?$1.1KMay 7, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 6?$1.1KMay 6, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 6?$1.1KMay 6, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 5?$1.1KMay 6, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 5?$1.1KMay 5, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 30?$2.14May 1, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 on April 20?$2.14Apr 21, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.21Apr 13, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 13?$3.22Apr 13, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 30?$3.28Mar 30, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 11?$2.15Mar 11, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 14?$6.54Feb 14, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.00Feb 14, 05:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $365.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 02:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 04:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".