Defensive-Shanty
0x20ae6acf1624d96be0c14d63226d1b6f3f47a356
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-32.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on February 15?
185 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 16?
138 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on February 18?
85 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 15?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 8?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on February 18?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on February 15?
18 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on February 16?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 15?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 8?$10.00Mar 8, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 7?$14.25Mar 7, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 7?$5.00Mar 6, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 6?$5.00Mar 6, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 4?$11.94Mar 4, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 4?$5.00Mar 4, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?$1.00Mar 3, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 18?$1.00Feb 18, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on February 18?$1.00Feb 17, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on February 18?$1.00Feb 17, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 17?$1.59Feb 17, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 17?$1.00Feb 17, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?$2.19Feb 16, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?$5.00Feb 16, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 15?$3.41Feb 16, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$1.00Feb 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 15?$4.40Feb 15, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 15?$1.78Feb 15, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on February 15?$5.00Feb 15, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 15?$2.78Feb 15, 16:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 17:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".