Glittering-Dialect
0x20b382be32a82d308fb9238f3c2a01756385d24c
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-333.15
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- NO
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?
1183 shares @ 87.5¢·now 94.2¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$1.1K
$78.25
- NO
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in August?
158 shares @ 24.9¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$54.58
$15.10
- NO
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 63.3¢·now 61.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$36.70
$-1.40
- NO
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
49 shares @ 76.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$35.91
$-1.22
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
40 shares @ 69.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$29.00
$1.40
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
30 shares @ 85.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$26.25
$0.65
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
145 shares @ 23.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.67
$-17.12
- NO
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?
30 shares @ 35.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$16.65
$6.15
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
20 shares @ 73.2¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.10
$0.46
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 74.3¢·now 98.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$14.71
$3.56
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$6.70Aug 6, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$8.40Aug 6, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?$10.50Aug 6, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.10Aug 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$6.90Aug 5, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$2.40Aug 5, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$14.00Aug 5, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$10.00Aug 5, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?$2.6KAug 5, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Andy Burnham in August?$13.50Aug 4, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Andy Burnham in August?$25.98Aug 4, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$7.00Aug 4, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$7.60Aug 4, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$17.20Aug 4, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$3.50Aug 4, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$8.00Aug 4, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$8.70Aug 4, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$6.00Aug 4, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $16.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.