Sinful-Viola
0x20bdba25e18530c1239adbb5f3b5ece9bcd4211f
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$13.95
Total PnL
$0.02
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 22?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.79
$0.00
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.79
$0.00
- NO
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.66
$0.00
- NO
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.55
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 22?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.27
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 22?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.21
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 22?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.20
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 22?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 22?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.08
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$108.00Jul 13, 05:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $108.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.