Obvious-Reply
0x20c1ad9f9a8210daecea96c63ca83b7cceaf4017
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-777.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
3108 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-369.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
614 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-47.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
438 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-77.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
145 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
102 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
84 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-39.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
48 shares @ 82.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-39.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
39 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
34 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-19.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$41.00Apr 22, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$41.48Apr 22, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$36.88Apr 22, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$37.64Apr 22, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$33.84Apr 22, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$33.94Apr 22, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$26.32Apr 22, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$26.41Apr 22, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$23.29Apr 22, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$133.41Apr 22, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$261.25Apr 22, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$394.67Apr 22, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$391.00Apr 22, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$5.00Apr 22, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$5.00Apr 22, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$401.00Apr 22, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$389.81Apr 22, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$6.64Apr 22, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$5.00Apr 22, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$9.64Apr 22, 06:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $43.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 05:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 08:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.