Narrow-Acquisition
0x20c318d0c73d4b8a189cf158c85c25e3611f4bcb
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$37.69
Total PnL
$-131.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next gaming YouTube video?
25 shares @ 32.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$12.25
$4.25
- OVER
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$10.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?
57 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$6.00
$-2.00
- YES
Spain leading at halftime?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$4.92
$-0.08
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?
80 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$4.40
$-3.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
62 shares @ 48.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?
36 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?
36 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assists
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 17?$8.00Jul 16, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain leading at halftime?$5.17Jul 16, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$10.29Jul 16, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next gaming YouTube video?$8.22Jul 16, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?$8.28Jul 16, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$27.78Jul 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$12.90Jul 15, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$15.34Jul 15, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$3.77Jul 15, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$11.64Jul 15, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$16.11Jul 15, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.03Jul 15, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$8.37Jul 14, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?$2.76Jul 11, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 1+ goals$6.08Jul 11, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?$2.62Jul 11, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?$2.61Jul 11, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?$2.61Jul 11, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?$2.62Jul 11, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 1+ assists$5.20Jul 11, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 06:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.