Gloomy-Existence
0x20c7c7b14da61740b38be8c0854283430f962027
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will Espanyol vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
3604 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-25?
3517 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-800.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 7PM ET
600 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-281.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
410 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-201.10
- ELCHE CF
Spread: Espanyol (-0.5)
101 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
50 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.50
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Nuggets
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
40 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-22.80
- MAGIC
Celtics vs. Magic
40 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-11.20
- HORNETS
Hornets vs. Heat
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Jul 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$2.00Jul 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$3.00Jul 17, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$5.00Jul 17, 12:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$900.00Jun 28, 07:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$74.71Jun 19, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$40.13Jun 19, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$2.08Jun 19, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$8.78Jun 19, 07:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 19, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $75.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 05:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 12:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.