Reasonable-Wasabi
0x20cf414b446641e1a6e6d115b59c8e6abc8b91db
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-1.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
400 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$397.40
$-0.20
- NO
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
311 shares @ 96.5¢·now 94.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$292.85
$-7.15
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
195 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$186.40
$0.98
- NO
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$99.35
$0.05
- NO
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
30 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.55
$-0.45
- NO
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
20 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$19.91
$0.09
- SOUTH AFRICA
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)
18 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$18.29
$3.29
- NO
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
20 shares @ 94.6¢·now 89.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$17.83
$-1.09
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
15 shares @ 90.1¢·now 90.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$13.49
$-0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$9.94
$0.04
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$11.70Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$186.07Jun 11, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$300.52Jun 11, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mexico (-2.5)$15.08Jun 11, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$13.50Jun 11, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$304.87Jun 11, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$2.80Jun 11, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$2.09Jun 11, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.10Jun 11, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.64Jun 11, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$25.00Jun 11, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.99Jun 11, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$13.50Jun 11, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$27.00Jun 11, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$5.40Jun 11, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$2.80Jun 11, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$10.80Jun 11, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $35.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.