Arid-Exaggeration
0x20cf57f674db14e001cb027ba627e210cdd059e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$19.06
Total PnL
$0.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
9 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.88
$0.15
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
4 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.05
$0.05
- NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.10
$0.01
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$3.09Mar 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$3.00Mar 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$4.00Mar 23, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$8.73Mar 23, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 7?$5.38Mar 19, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 8?$5.52Mar 19, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $40 on March 6?$5.44Mar 19, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $40 on March 6?$5.43Mar 4, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 8?$5.49Mar 4, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 7?$5.36Mar 4, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.40Mar 4, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.46Mar 4, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.00 in February?$5.46Mar 4, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in February?$5.45Feb 26, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.39Feb 26, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.45Feb 26, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 22?$5.51Feb 26, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on February 22?$5.29Feb 26, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on February 23?$5.38Feb 26, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on February 22?$5.28Feb 20, 09:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $5.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 06:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.