Admired-Deathwatch
0x20d11f8a9c142ee98e52360b3f0dee410a34c131
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$454.97
Total PnL
$-2.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 34.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$50.50
$16.50
- YES
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
60 shares @ 32.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$31.50
$12.30
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
40 shares @ 62.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.80
$5.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
30 shares @ 71.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.94
$4.65
- YES
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?
30 shares @ 59.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.00
$3.30
- YES
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 43.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.25
$-1.25
- YES
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
40 shares @ 44.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$19.80
$2.20
- YES
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
80 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$18.40
$-0.80
- YES
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.75
$-2.25
- YES
Surf FDV above $300M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 23.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$16.00
$4.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.00May 15, 03:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$8.78May 14, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $300M one day after launch?$5.29May 14, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$0.00May 14, 02:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNexus FDV above $200M one day after launch?$7.58May 12, 10:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$19.77May 7, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.53May 7, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDecibel FDV above $20M one day after launch?$5.95May 7, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSurf FDV above $300M one day after launch?$12.12May 7, 03:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $12.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 06:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".