Wallet digest

active

Activity score

60/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$8.06

Total PnL

$-10.7K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 36

NO
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
3 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$3.03
$0.03
NO
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026
$1.01
$0.01
NO
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$1.01
$0.01
NO
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$1.00
$0.01
NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$1.00
$0.00
NO
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026
$0.99
$-0.01
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025
$0.00
$-1.0K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025
$0.00
$-1.0K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$250.00Dec 10, 03:07 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$3.50Dec 5, 06:18 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$362.50Dec 5, 06:18 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$366.00Dec 5, 06:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$183.00Dec 5, 05:35 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$300.00Dec 5, 04:37 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$300.00Dec 5, 04:36 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$300.00Dec 5, 03:59 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$27.27Dec 5, 03:56 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$272.73Dec 5, 03:54 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Dec 5, 03:23 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$500.00Dec 5, 03:22 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$290.66Dec 5, 02:49 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$9.34Dec 5, 02:49 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$11.39Dec 5, 02:48 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$238.60Dec 5, 02:48 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$500.00Dec 5, 02:33 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$277.00Dec 5, 01:50 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$250.00Dec 5, 01:49 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$500.00Dec 5, 01:47 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry83 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk68 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 36
Avg trade size: $203.92
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 4, 04:19 UTC
Last active: Dec 10, 03:07 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 17:03:40 UTC·src:Polymarket Data