Shocked-Initialize
0x20d6f38acfca9c7e6f247cd7127deb774431393f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-747.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
263 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-69.09
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
210 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-88.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
197 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-55.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
164 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
158 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-60.90
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 5AM ET
130 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- 100 THIEVES
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)
121 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
119 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 6AM ET
115 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$20.40Jun 11, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$3.07Jun 11, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$19.41Jan 9, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 9, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLNo airdrop in 2025?$0.45Dec 30, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo airdrop in 2025?$12.96Dec 29, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter Airdrop on December 29?$12.96Dec 29, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 29?$30.55Dec 28, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter Airdrop on December 29?$30.55Dec 23, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 29?$29.32Dec 21, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter Airdrop on December 29?$29.32Dec 21, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 29?$24.22Dec 20, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$24.22Dec 19, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$23.25Dec 9, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 5?$23.25Dec 6, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 5?$21.18Dec 5, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$8.89Dec 4, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 4, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$22.30Dec 4, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$21.56Nov 30, 13:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $25.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 04:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 15:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.