Defensive-Analog
0x20dad1bba9bced1c04f07e04dfe3ba2b010f06e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-0.38
Realised
$7.74
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$5.00
$1.75
- YES
Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.97
- YES
Will Tetris be the #1 searched game on Google this year?
541 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.13
- YES
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
357 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.98
- YES
Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance be the #1 searched game on Google this year?
318 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.32
- YES
Will Roblox be the #1 searched game on Google this year?
313 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.63
- YES
Will Assassin’s Creed Shadows be the #1 searched game on Google this year?
239 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.36
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
215 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.21
- YES
Will Raiders Map be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
196 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Connections be the #1 searched game on Google this year?
187 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.37
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?$1.70Dec 6, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?$0.00Dec 5, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?$0.30Dec 5, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$0.55Dec 4, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$0.12Dec 4, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$0.23Dec 3, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Battlefield 6 be the #1 searched game on Google this year?$0.15Dec 3, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monster Hunter Wilds be the #1 searched game on Google this year?$0.19Dec 3, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monster Hunter Wilds be the #1 searched game on Google this year?$0.10Dec 3, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$0.00Dec 3, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.18Dec 3, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marvel Rivals be the #1 searched game on Google this year?$0.02Dec 3, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roblox be the #1 searched game on Google this year?$0.02Dec 3, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kingdom Come: Deliverance be the #1 searched game on Google this year?$0.01Dec 3, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Assassin’s Creed Shadows be the #1 searched game on Google this year?$0.01Dec 3, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Assassin’s Creed Shadows be the #1 searched game on Google this year?$0.01Dec 3, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connections be the #1 searched game on Google this year?$0.02Dec 3, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kingdom Come: Deliverance be the #1 searched game on Google this year?$0.06Dec 3, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tetris be the #1 searched game on Google this year?$0.02Dec 3, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 15:57 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 6, 03:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".