Super-Expense
0x20e209dcac74c56b4e499d936de0889506f4e4fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-81.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 16?
700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on March 16?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 8?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 2?
15 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 28?
10 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 15?
10 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 14?
10 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 22?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 6?
10 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 22?
10 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 26?$0.03Jun 26, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 25?$0.01Jun 25, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 25?$1.17Jun 25, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 25?$0.13Jun 25, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 26?$2.82Jun 25, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 25?$0.15Jun 25, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 25?$0.00Jun 25, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 25?$1.45Jun 25, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 25?$1.30Jun 25, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 25?$2.09Jun 25, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 22?$0.02Jun 22, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 22?$0.49Jun 22, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?$3.60Jun 17, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?$1.06Jun 17, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 11?$0.70Jun 11, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 7?$0.25Jun 7, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 3?$0.40Jun 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on May 28?$5.00Jun 3, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on May 28?$1.15May 28, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 22?$1.30May 22, 02:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 02:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 06:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.