Rectangular-Exhibit
0x20f944ff40fb05ae38a1c5a7018ac7af393956dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-63.14
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 3AM ET
1620 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
405 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-63.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
400 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
400 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
400 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
400 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-33.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
300 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
300 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-35.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
250 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-37.50
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
250 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-38.97
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.84Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.11Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.39Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.06Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.93Jun 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.58Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.43Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.95Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.13Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.78Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.42Jun 11, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.10Jun 10, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.96Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.00Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.24Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.03Jun 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.19Jun 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.74Jun 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.63May 31, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.79May 30, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.