Fair-Chapter
0x210c0f8ca9c8e8d0c5d555c18d3fb9b1ef1b2eda
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$300.39
Total PnL
$-202.30
Realised
$175.41
Win rate
83%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
309 shares @ 88.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$292.00
$18.09
- NO
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$4.56
$1.00
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$2.55
$0.67
- YES
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 21.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.27
$0.74
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
83 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-79.96
- NO
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
78 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-11.98
- NO
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?
77 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.46
- NO
Will SPOLU get between 23% and 26% of the vote in the Czech election?
77 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-38.14
- NO
Will Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?
77 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-32.27
- NO
Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?
77 shares @ 56.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-43.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$79.96Feb 12, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$79.96Feb 12, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$79.40Jan 31, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$273.92Jan 31, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine election called in 2025?$0.30Jan 31, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? $0.50Jan 31, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30?$0.60Jan 31, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Chargers win the AFC West?$0.66Jan 31, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition$0.87Jan 31, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm in 2025?$1.25Jan 31, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?$1.69Jan 31, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMCanada recession in 2025?$1.71Jan 31, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?$4.00Jan 31, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $4.87Jan 31, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$291.11Jan 31, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?$0.84Dec 15, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?$19.60Dec 15, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$25.29Dec 10, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$287.00Nov 29, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMMeteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.11Nov 29, 22:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $49.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 03:47 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 13:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".