Worried-Randomisation
0x2110c769d16116398e6d606dbfe29256cfa1d772
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$28.69
Total PnL
$-37.29
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 17?
8 shares @ 34.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$7.87
$5.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 21?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$5.43
$1.74
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 21?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$5.23
$2.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 20?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$5.17
$1.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 21?
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$5.00
$1.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 20?
35 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 15?
29 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 21?
24 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 15?
18 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 20?
17 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?$0.88May 30, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 30?$0.33May 30, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 30?$1.09May 30, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?$1.06May 30, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on June 1?$1.05May 30, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 30?$0.27May 30, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 30?$1.17May 30, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 31?$0.79May 29, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 30?$1.06May 29, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 29?$0.55May 29, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on May 29?$0.38May 29, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 29?$0.55May 29, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?$1.14May 29, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?$1.39May 29, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 29?$0.59May 29, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 30?$1.05May 29, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on May 29?$0.84May 29, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 29?$1.06May 29, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 30?$1.06May 29, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 28?$1.86May 28, 06:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 06:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.