Bad-Interval
0x211fbf66f4dcf1e0c400ec93c43a2d7c9317cdf5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.04
Realised
$1.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Howard Lutnick as next Fed Chair in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair in 2025?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?
236 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.02
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Fox News interview on September 18?
200 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?
140 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Trump resign in 2025?
100 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?$21.50Oct 22, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMAnother France debt downgrade by December 31?$0.00Oct 19, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMAnother France debt downgrade by December 31?$51.96Oct 19, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by October 17?$1.20Oct 14, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$0.10Oct 14, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$0.28Oct 14, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$0.63Oct 14, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?$13.00Oct 12, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?$33.00Oct 12, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?$10.50Oct 9, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.60Oct 8, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?$30.36Oct 8, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?$0.05Oct 8, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?$0.17Oct 8, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?$0.03Oct 8, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by October 10?$1.02Oct 8, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?$0.80Oct 8, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother France debt downgrade by December 31?$5.03Oct 8, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother France debt downgrade by December 31?$33.47Oct 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?$1.10Oct 6, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 16, 00:55 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 22, 05:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".