Coarse-Upstairs
0x212ca856aa874ae06e7e7a61b0a73786f62b8e4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-634.62
Realised
$0.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
4697 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?
2162 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-466.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?
667 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
134 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.70
- NO
Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?
122 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- NO
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?
121 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for less than 2 seconds?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?
39 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.53
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
17 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$22.70Oct 9, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?$22.70Oct 9, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$6.53Sep 5, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France recognize Palestine in 2025?$10.00Sep 5, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?$30.00Sep 5, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by September 5?$46.52Sep 5, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by September 5?$36.00Sep 4, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?$30.34Sep 4, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 10+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$2.27Sep 4, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$2.56Sep 4, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by September 5?$3.00Aug 30, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$3.00Aug 30, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$5.21Aug 28, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.00Aug 28, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 10+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$1.00Aug 28, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$3.62Aug 28, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$3.76Aug 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?$3.00Aug 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$3.00Aug 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France recognize Palestine in 2025?$3.00Aug 28, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $31.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 09:56 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 9, 16:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".