Lustrous-Parchment
0x2136af6ba9332e2947d5c477aa8ab807f64cee56
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$66.0K
Total PnL
$-7.7K
Realised
$392.71
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
35865 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.0K
$817.76
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
17975 shares @ 82.1¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.6K
$884.25
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
6584 shares @ 94.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.5K
$271.37
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
3362 shares @ 84.9¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.9K
$71.34
- NO
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
3282 shares @ 83.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$94.90
- NO
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
1453 shares @ 86.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$38.62
- NO
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
871 shares @ 85.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$779.42
$36.44
- NO
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
748 shares @ 84.9¢·now 89.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$667.90
$32.77
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
307 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$280.56
$7.67
- NO
Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
64 shares @ 79.5¢·now 72.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.09
$-4.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$121.00Jun 12, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?$121.15Jun 12, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$151.89Jun 12, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$149.04Jun 12, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$13.55Jun 12, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$13.55Jun 12, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$103.45Jun 12, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$541.13Jun 12, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?$217.83Jun 12, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?$323.54Jun 12, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$240.61Jun 12, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$281.26Jun 12, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$92.29Jun 12, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$149.04Jun 11, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$248.76Jun 11, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$151.20Jun 8, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$437.94Jun 8, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?$27.30Jun 8, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?$145.58Jun 8, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?$497.57Jun 8, 14:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $269.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 22:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 18:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.