Ambitious-Cluster
0x213f104206b7fd728908b20352ffa9fa9b0e4079
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$15.38
Total PnL
$-24.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
French election called by October 31?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$15.38
$5.38
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-05?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?$10.13Oct 21, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$11.18Oct 21, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$16.26Oct 21, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$8.33Oct 19, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMFrench election called by October 17?$25.57Oct 18, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by October 17?$13.21Oct 15, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$10.00Oct 15, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$11.76Oct 15, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$10.00Oct 14, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$11.54Oct 14, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?$10.00Oct 14, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by October 31?$10.00Oct 14, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by October 17?$10.00Oct 14, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$10.00Oct 14, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$15.00Oct 14, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Drug cartel" or "Narco-terrorist" this week? (October 7 - 12)$0.02Oct 12, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$43.94Oct 11, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$56.00Oct 10, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$76.95Oct 10, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$62.61Oct 9, 09:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $31.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 17:57 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 21, 16:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.