Optimistic-Enemy
0x2144c9803b8cb39e4894c3658d9ee698195494ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
16/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-224.3K
Realised
$-104.4K
Win rate
3%
197 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
10442 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
9593 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
8330 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
7593 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-440.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
7478 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
7020 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
6986 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
6887 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-102.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
6524 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
6457 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-513.78
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 197 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
197 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 197 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.