0x214d6cf10ca9d57fb122dd093197665b42c1cd09
0x214d6cf10ca9d57fb122dd093197665b42c1cd09
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-757.44
Realised
$116.43
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-28?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-30?
2000 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-304.99
- MANCHESTER CITY
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)
1500 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- LATVIA
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latvia
1450 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- YES
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-30?
1410 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-286.58
- YES
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?
1125 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-25.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?
1100 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.90
- YES
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-26?
850 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-56.02
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-06?
700 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.