Humongous-Pair
0x214e501ec15e181dd3fc8e1f426f943f8893dbd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.06
Total PnL
$-898.15
Realised
$-45.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-21?
114 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.06
$-30.63
- YES
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
747 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-276.45
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
395 shares @ 65.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-258.43
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
244 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
119 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-70.47
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
116 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-67.47
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
85 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-70.47
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
83 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
66 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill EC Bahia win on 2026-07-21?$31.81Jul 21, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$1.85Jun 27, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$3.44Jun 26, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$4.37Jun 25, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$261.11Jun 25, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$281.67Jun 25, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$282.36Jun 25, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$157.56Jun 24, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$12.07Jun 22, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$10.20Jun 22, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$2.06Jun 17, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$12.14Jun 17, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$46.17Jun 17, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$0.11Jun 16, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$0.29Jun 16, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$2.51Jun 15, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$2.53Jun 15, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$47.99Jun 15, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$30.96Jun 15, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$16.98Jun 14, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $60.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 19:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 05:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.