Bad-Expectation
0x21548bf106d0cc38aa4a7df68195ea02847d4098
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$5.05
Total PnL
$-508.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
505 shares @ 98.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-498.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$35.35Jun 15, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.00Jun 15, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.00Jun 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.00Jun 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.00Jun 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.00Jun 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.00Jun 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.00Jun 15, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.05Jun 15, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.00Jun 15, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$10.10Jun 15, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$5.00Jun 15, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$5.00Jun 15, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$10.10Jun 15, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$5.00Jun 15, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$5.00Jun 15, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$10.10Jun 15, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$4.86Jun 15, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$4.96Jun 15, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.00Jun 15, 11:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 13:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 13:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.