Rude-Manufacturing
0x21608466045f8625eddd313cb6ead7d5500ac5fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-127.48
Realised
$4.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- DOWN
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on February 3?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
291 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
196 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-62.65
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Space Force" during Christmas Eve service member calls?
110 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.24
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
30 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?
23 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$28.36May 23, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$20.48May 3, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be 75% or higher?$20.57Mar 30, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$62.65Mar 22, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$62.66Mar 22, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$74.47Mar 22, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$21.01Mar 22, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be 75% or higher?$8.40Mar 22, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be 75% or higher?$10.00Mar 22, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$12.00Mar 20, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$5.00Mar 20, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$10.00Mar 20, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$20.00Mar 20, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on March 17?$0.00Mar 19, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on March 17?$0.00Mar 19, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on March 17?$5.00Mar 19, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on March 17?$35.32Mar 19, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on March 17?$2.00Mar 17, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on March 17?$35.28Mar 17, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on March 17?$4.72Mar 17, 19:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $20.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 19:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 07:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.