Tan-Wool
0x2161f10450f671f006727c9a0f46a8bca442f80d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-750.03
Realised
$11.47
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
5669 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-56.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
322 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-115.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
247 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
146 shares @ 63.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-92.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
120 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-49.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
105 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
102 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
93 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
84 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
81 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$43.92Jul 13, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$18.31Jul 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$18.37Jul 13, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$25.46Jul 13, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$25.40Jul 13, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$20.40Jul 13, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$17.42Jul 13, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$17.23Jul 13, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$20.86Jul 13, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$21.03Jul 13, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$28.56Jul 13, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$28.00Jul 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$7.37Jul 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$7.87Jul 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$13.16Jul 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$2.63Jul 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$2.13Jul 13, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $11.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 23:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.