Vivacious-Resort
0x2169da917c66c9161fa094a82db2b65b4b74b9ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-44.96
Realised
$-0.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Georgia win on 2025-11-15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-11-16?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
770 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.01
- YES
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 11–18?
330 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2025$0.00
$-19.80
- YES
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times April 4 - 11?
285 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times April 4 - 11?
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times April 4 - 11?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 300 and 319 times September 5–12?
36 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-0.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
35 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-0.35
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.14Feb 21, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$207.30Feb 20, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$142.00Feb 20, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$38.03Feb 20, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$139.80Feb 20, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$13.07Feb 20, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$190.00Feb 20, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$54.45Feb 20, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$9.69Feb 20, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$7.00Feb 20, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$150.00Feb 20, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$9.00Feb 20, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$1.47Feb 20, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$0.45Feb 20, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$0.45Feb 20, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$1.44Feb 20, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$2.94Feb 20, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$12.00Feb 20, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$78.00Feb 20, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$4.80Feb 20, 10:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $26.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 10:29 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".