Likely-Liability
0x216aacfea6291f6eef42e819714719f503a71a44
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$5.96
Total PnL
$-100.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.98
$-0.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.98
$-0.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 26, 1PM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.98Apr 15, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.98Apr 15, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.97Apr 15, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.84Apr 15, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.86Mar 27, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.96Mar 27, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.97Mar 27, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.97Mar 21, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.92Mar 18, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.96Mar 18, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.97Mar 18, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.96Mar 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.97Mar 13, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.93Mar 9, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Timberwolves$6.00Feb 14, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Timberwolves$4.44Feb 11, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 26, 1PM ET$100.00Jan 26, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMPredators vs. Rangers$0.00Nov 12, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMPredators vs. Rangers$8.00Nov 12, 06:56 UTC
- SPLITPredators vs. Rangers$8.00Nov 10, 14:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $9.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 17:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 08:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.