Finished-Licorice
0x216e010bad0d3d367b38c146701513371aa34e32
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-771.91
Realised
$-26.57
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on June 14?
608 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14?
512 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 6?
505 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 14?
397 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 17?
265 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 14?
262 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 12?
242 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 6?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 15?
186 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.03Jul 22, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$2.08Jul 19, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.04Jul 19, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$2.13Jul 19, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.04Jul 19, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$2.00Jul 19, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$1.03Jul 19, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$15.58Jul 19, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$8.27Jul 19, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$4.16Jul 19, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$2.08Jul 19, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.03Jul 19, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.05Jul 19, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$1.64Jul 19, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$1.04Jul 19, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$2.50Jul 18, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.04Jul 18, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.