Austere-Speculation
0x216ff1db5d07a6a06d3094223b4957b8199feaf6
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$66.00
Total PnL
$-31.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?
25 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$25.00
$0.40
- NO
Will Anamaria Gavrilă win the Romanian presidential election?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.00
$0.03
- NO
Will Jim Chalmers be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$13.00
$0.01
- NO
Will any other candidate win the Romanian presidential election?
13 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.00
$0.04
- NO
Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
32 shares @ 99.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Chalmers be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?$12.99Apr 13, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivica Zubac win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?$12.94Apr 13, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anamaria Gavrilă win the Romanian presidential election?$14.97Mar 31, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other candidate win the Romanian presidential election?$12.96Mar 31, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$38.38Mar 31, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivica Zubac win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?$12.95Feb 26, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?$32.36Feb 26, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill someone else be inaugurated?$45.32Feb 26, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?$24.60Jan 3, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$2.1KJan 3, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$2.1KJan 3, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$2.1KJan 3, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$38.00Jan 3, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$2.1KJan 3, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$45.00Jan 3, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$2.2KJan 3, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$2.2KJan 3, 12:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $863.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 12:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 11:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".