Legitimate-Regard
0x2184156275c2feda2d3062f5c8f42519c487e222
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-52.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be less than 43%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $112,000 on November 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bryce Hall win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 3 Coin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Nick Wright" win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$0.14Nov 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$0.17Nov 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?$0.12Nov 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$0.23Nov 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$0.28Nov 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.30Nov 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$0.21Nov 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ballad of a Small Player win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.11Nov 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$0.38Nov 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$0.15Nov 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.40Nov 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$0.37Nov 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?$0.49Nov 23, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELL50-year GSE-eligible mortgages by December 31?$0.23Nov 23, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.33Nov 23, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?$0.53Nov 23, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLMonad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$0.13Nov 23, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $3.00 in November?$0.05Nov 23, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?$0.10Nov 23, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.55Nov 23, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 12:36 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 23, 12:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".