Lawful-Temperature
0x21847dd45a6880049e328219de634292beb5bed6
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$102.60
Total PnL
$-287.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?
45 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$45.45
$30.45
- NO
GPT-5 released in 2024?
43 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$42.86
$12.86
- COWBOYS
Giants vs. Cowboys
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2024$14.29
$4.29
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
528 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
172 shares @ 72.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-125.00
- FEVER
WNBA: Sun vs. Fever Game 2
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$200.00Nov 5, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$100.00Oct 9, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGiants vs. Cowboys$10.00Sep 25, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWNBA: Sun vs. Fever Game 2$10.00Sep 25, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?$15.00Sep 25, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$25.00Sep 25, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5 released in 2024?$30.00Sep 25, 11:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $55.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 11:56 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 11:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.