Firm-Vanity
0x2185405565c40b6a1aae26562fbf40bdcecef85a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-34.0K
Realised
$28.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1682 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$12.62
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
817 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$518.79
$-12.26
- NO
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.59
$0.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2PM ET
18844 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-9.4K
- UNDER
Panthers vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5
18176 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-9.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
13895 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-6.9K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
5914 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5PM ET
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12PM ET
3500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
1607 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-803.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.19Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Spurs$36.00Jun 2, 15:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 17, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $28.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".