General-Feedback
0x2185f7f9d37c504b51efb52a9ed1a0c58c88b5a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-230.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$17.87Oct 10, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$6.78Oct 10, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$48.65Oct 10, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$29.41Oct 9, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$40.00Oct 9, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$5.00Oct 9, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$20.00Oct 9, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.94Oct 9, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$10.00Oct 8, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$10.00Oct 8, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$15.26Oct 8, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$20.00Oct 7, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$20.00Oct 7, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Military Edition$8.85Oct 7, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$60.00Oct 2, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$45.39Oct 1, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.98Sep 30, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$40.00Sep 30, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Military Edition$10.00Sep 30, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$32.53Sep 30, 19:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $33.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 09:04 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 11:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.