Urban-Weekender
0x2186730288a3234ab83c1940f7a5e5c73baf2948
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$623.62
Total PnL
$-677.67
Realised
$-2.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
140 shares @ 87.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$139.75
$17.75
- NO
Will Trump say "Little Rocket Man" in October?
49 shares @ 72.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$49.49
$13.49
- NO
Will Trump say "Jeffrey Epstein" in October?
46 shares @ 72.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$46.25
$12.59
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
45 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$44.70
$2.70
- NO
US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31?
42 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$42.11
$2.11
- NO
Giza Pyramid underground structures confirmed generators?
31 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$30.54
$0.54
- NO
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.00
$5.00
- NO
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?
22 shares @ 89.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$22.38
$2.38
- NO
Will Trump say "Tom Cruise" in October?
20 shares @ 73.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$20.48
$5.48
- NO
Will Trump say "Ebay" in October?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$12.20
$2.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?$10.00Oct 21, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?$1.00Oct 20, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?$1.00Oct 20, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?$3.00Oct 20, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?$4.00Oct 20, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?$5.00Oct 20, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$7.81Oct 19, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$5.56Oct 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$5.00Oct 16, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$5.00Oct 16, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$1.00Oct 16, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Oct 13, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Drug cartel" or "Narco-terrorist" this week? (October 7 - 12)$0.00Oct 13, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$13.88Oct 13, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Drug cartel" or "Narco-terrorist" this week? (October 7 - 12)$15.70Oct 13, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Oct 13, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Oct 13, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Oct 13, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Oct 13, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$3.00Oct 13, 21:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $8.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 15:47 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 21, 19:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".