Real-Collateral
0x21880e922e233898c16ce0c803a01d482e6f7a8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?
3500 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-170.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
2738 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
1250 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 1?
1166 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
730 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
700 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 3?
618 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-95.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
571 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
486 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
454 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?$52.46Jun 2, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 3?$99.66Jun 2, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 1?$4.02Jun 1, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?$20.66Jun 1, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$0.93Jun 1, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$25.87Jun 1, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$25.88Jun 1, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$0.00Jun 1, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$68.71Jun 1, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$5.20Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$5.20Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$25.79Jun 1, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Jun 1, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$39.26Jun 1, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$25.65Jun 1, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?$51.65Jun 1, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?$10.33Jun 1, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?$10.33Jun 1, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?$10.33Jun 1, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?$10.34Jun 1, 06:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $26.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 04:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".