Substantial-Channel
0x218fa109762729b120d17ae8defeefb2bdbc2a0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$7.75
Total PnL
$-72.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.22
$1.72
- NO
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.75
$-2.35
- NO
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.78
$-1.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Hyperliquid's HIP-3 upgrade go live on mainnet by December 31?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?
51 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will another company be accused of insider trading?
47 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the Mumbai Indians win the 2025 Indian Premier League?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- SRI LANKA
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lanka
24 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$26.47May 19, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.36May 4, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Riders$4.55Apr 1, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kings$10.87Apr 1, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kings$5.00Mar 29, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Riders$3.00Mar 29, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Riders$5.00Mar 29, 08:24 UTC
- SPLITWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?$5.00Mar 29, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$18.00Mar 26, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meteora be accused of insider trading?$29.94Feb 26, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?$15.99Feb 26, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?$3.00Feb 26, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another company be accused of insider trading?$8.00Feb 26, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?$5.00Feb 26, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?$5.00Feb 26, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lanka$10.00Feb 24, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meteora be accused of insider trading?$21.00Feb 24, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMOver $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$5.00Feb 24, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?$5.10Feb 4, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$1.90Feb 4, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 21:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 21:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".