Grateful-Bribery
0x21a2359df98cfd8aebeb17be685458c1b039bfde
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-65.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
45 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
30-year mortgage rate below 6% by January 31?
31 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Anniversary" this week? (January 11)$0.00Feb 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Probability" during January press conference?$0.00Feb 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Day Care" or "Daycare" this week? (January 11)$0.00Feb 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Assumption" during January press conference?$0.00Feb 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Trail Blazers$0.00Feb 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?$0.00Feb 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "FIFA" this week? (January 11)$0.00Feb 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$0.00Feb 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?$0.00Feb 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Feb 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Feb 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Feb 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Feb 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jan 15, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$10.00Jan 14, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Jan 14, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?$125.00Jan 14, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?$39.96Jan 14, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Atlantic" this week? (January 11)$0.00Jan 12, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMBills vs. Jaguars$40.00Jan 12, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $16.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.