Lopsided-Pit
0x21a53e6f0ef80bfb96e89d026d000bf72e1ff868
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$66.33
Total PnL
$-789.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
67 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$66.33
$0.13
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 25?
36000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-108.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 9?
15144 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-681.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$66.22Jul 9, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz resign by June 30?$66.27Jul 9, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by June 30?$66.20Jun 20, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$38.42Jun 20, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.50 on May 25?$0.32May 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.50 on May 25?$0.05May 25, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.50 on May 25?$0.02May 25, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.50 on May 25?$0.06May 25, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.50 on May 25?$115.06May 25, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$38.02May 10, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March?$38.12May 10, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March?$37.62Mar 23, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 9?$7.20Mar 9, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 9?$168.39Mar 9, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 9?$0.17Mar 9, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 9?$4.50Mar 9, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 9?$1.80Mar 9, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 9?$7.74Mar 9, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 9?$9.36Mar 9, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 9?$6.66Mar 9, 09:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $62.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 04:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.