Huge-Sombrero
0x21a581c351fdfcafc1914aa0a6f788c3b96c22f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$604.69
Total PnL
$-0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
515 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$499.31
$241.80
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
515 shares @ 50.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.71
$-241.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on May 22?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on May 23?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.89
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 23?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.89
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on May 23?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.79
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 22?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.40
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 23?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.27
$-0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 23?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.90
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 23?$9.30May 22, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 23?$9.00May 22, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on May 23?$9.90May 22, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on May 23?$9.80May 22, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on May 23?$7.30May 22, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 23?$9.90May 22, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 22?$8.53May 22, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 21?$9.61May 22, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 22, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C or below on May 22?$6.91May 21, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 22?$9.71May 21, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 22?$8.11May 21, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 22?$9.40May 21, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on May 22?$10.00May 21, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C or below on May 22?$6.90May 21, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 22?$8.50May 21, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 22?$9.70May 21, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 22?$8.10May 21, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 21?$6.11May 21, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 21, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $8.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 16:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 06:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".