Plump-Deadline
0x21a728b8d8f338718dd8642fb52152e66c09bce1
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$59.90
Total PnL
$-363.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1597 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.90
$-68.09
- YES
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
3445 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-51.46
- YES
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?
1549 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 14?
1056 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
676 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.31May 21, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.39May 19, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$222.22May 17, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvia win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Eurovision 2026?$2.10Apr 28, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $13.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 19:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".