0x21a94af0185b39cd01665d8de7c6ba6961c8861f
0x21a94af0185b39cd01665d8de7c6ba6961c8861f
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US forces in Iran before August?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Doge ETF approved by July 31?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4600 August 4–10?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4600 August 4–10?$1.00Aug 10, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$1.00Aug 8, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1.00Jul 27, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$1.00Jul 22, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120K in July?$1.11Jul 14, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $108,000 on July 14?$6.00Jul 14, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Khamenei before August?$1.00Jul 13, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDoge ETF approved by July 31?$1.00Jul 13, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?$1.00Jul 13, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Iran before August?$1.00Jul 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok-4 be the top AI before August?$1.00Jul 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRipple ETF approved by July 31?$1.00Jul 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Jul 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $108,000 on July 14?$5.00Jul 13, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $108,000 on July 14?$1.00Jul 13, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before August?$1.00Jul 13, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in July?$1.00Jul 13, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 05:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".