Frail-Traveler
0x21aa6e7f633f0361138651e3a927fc1a13f7aa43
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
89
Open notional
$1.40
Total PnL
$-873.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- YES
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Missouri win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
2020 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.04
- YES
Will SMU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
1310 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 24?
680 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.64
- YES
Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?
264 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
247 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
200 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers by September 15th?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Mar 17, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.09Mar 17, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.06Mar 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.04Mar 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.04Mar 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.20Mar 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.06Mar 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.05Mar 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.11Mar 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.19Mar 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.10Mar 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.13Mar 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.20Mar 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.53Mar 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.77Mar 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.45Mar 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SMU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.31Mar 17, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.26Mar 17, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.92Mar 17, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.87Mar 17, 17:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 16:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".