Frightening-Foal
0x21ac15a46e40d58a3a907e3b932b047473f5b21f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-49.03
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Director at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
243 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "28 Years Later" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
220 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
172 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
163 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Catherine O'Hara win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?$2.13Mar 2, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sentimental Value" win Best Director at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$2.00Feb 19, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hamnet" win Best Director at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$2.00Feb 19, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle" win Best Animated Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$1.00Feb 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bugonia" win Best Director at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$1.00Feb 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Marty Supreme" win Best Director at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$1.00Feb 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sinners" win Best Director at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$1.00Feb 18, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$1.00Feb 18, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?$16.67Feb 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.00Feb 9, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$1.45Feb 9, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Feb 9, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 9, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.96Feb 9, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 8, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 8, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hamnet" win Best Casting at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$1.00Feb 8, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine O'Hara win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?$1.00Feb 8, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cillian Murphy win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$2.00Feb 8, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Feb 8, 15:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 08:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".