Oval-Upward
0x21b32757a9f8e2d5c36ae1a1b0ca6d785ff01337
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.4K
Realised
$26.23
Win rate
3%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
3771 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
2707 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
1893 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
1436 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
1245 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-225.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
858 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
743 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
639 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-205.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
566 shares @ 70.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$37.33Aug 11, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$52.40Aug 11, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$68.78Aug 11, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$52.80Aug 11, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$52.06Aug 11, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$62.84Aug 11, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$52.41Aug 11, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$51.57Aug 11, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$46.21Aug 11, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$52.05Aug 11, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$0.00Aug 10, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$82.61Aug 10, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$6.35Aug 10, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$51.38Aug 10, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$5.15Aug 10, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$10.45Aug 10, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$78.29Aug 8, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$51.26Aug 8, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Aug 8, 19:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
31 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $41.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 16:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.