Tough-Malice
0x21b42b9a2f26c5fcacca943fad75c81ad039967d
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$3.15
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$27.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
300 shares @ 10.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.15
$-26.85
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
4435 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-378.41
- NO
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
3889 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-327.81
- YES
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 3% and 6%?
1439 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
1075 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-56.99
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
862 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
703 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.12Feb 19, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$64.09Feb 18, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.00Feb 18, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$19.60Feb 18, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$14.60Feb 18, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$59.09Feb 18, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$0.00Feb 18, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$52.69Feb 18, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$15.85Feb 18, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$29.52Feb 18, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$16.13Feb 18, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$20.50Feb 18, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Jan 30, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Jan 30, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Jan 30, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.00Jan 12, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?$8.00Jan 10, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 31?$10.00Jan 10, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 10, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$30.00Jan 10, 22:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $21.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 00:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".