Popular-Hive
0x21b9e45eab79a1f1b43bfcbdd75523a2aa807b36
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-636.42
Realised
$-186.05
Win rate
0%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?
233 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 28?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?
176 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 18?
160 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.35
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 18?
151 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.17
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on January 26?
131 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.31
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 17?
130 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.97
- YES
Tom Lee mindshare all time high by March 31?
125 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 17?
121 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.39
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 12?
117 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 28?$2.14Jul 28, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 22?$2.84Jul 21, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 9?$85.49Jul 11, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 9?$0.23Jul 9, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 9?$83.64Jul 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8?$1.42Jul 7, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on July 7?$2.34Jul 7, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3?$1.36Jul 2, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$3.01Jun 1, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB reach $800 in May?$92.45Jun 1, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $800 in May?$89.86May 31, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20?$97.34May 22, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20?$94.61May 20, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 19?$3.31May 18, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 18?$1.45May 17, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?$2.99May 17, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 17?$3.29May 16, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?$2.55May 15, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 11?$123.55May 12, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 11?$0.22May 10, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $26.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 13:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.