Parched-Rack
0x21bcc0b0760cc6c5b03919ebb4f437188f4a1fe9
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-213.65
Realised
$-17.02
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 28?
311 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 24?
260 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-54.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 25?
153 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-8.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 13?
73 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 24?
58 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 25?
43 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 14?
37 shares @ 56.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 24?
37 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 15?
36 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13?
17 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.69
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 26?$1.59Jun 26, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 26?$3.63Jun 26, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 26?$5.03Jun 26, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 26?$0.10Jun 26, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 26?$3.55Jun 26, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 26?$4.98Jun 26, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 26?$4.84Jun 26, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 26?$2.01Jun 26, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?$4.28Jun 26, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 26?$4.97Jun 26, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 26?$4.96Jun 26, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on June 25?$12.24Jun 26, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?$4.62Jun 25, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 25?$0.81Jun 25, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 25?$0.11Jun 25, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 25?$5.79Jun 25, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?$7.37Jun 25, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 25?$4.18Jun 25, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on June 25?$5.40Jun 25, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 25?$0.95Jun 25, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 01:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 07:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.